lundi 4 mai 2026

Bleak outlook for Starmer

King finally steps out of the late Queen’s shadow | Welfare pays more than work for 600,000 households
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Britain’s most popular daily newsletter, read by more than 850,000

Monday, 4 May 2026

Issue No. 435

The week ahead looks bleak for Sir Keir Starmer. Labour is expected to suffer a drubbing in Thursday’s local elections, and those he once counted as allies are jostling for his job. First it was Wes Streeting, but now Andy Burnham is so confident about his chances that his allies have asked the Prime Minister’s top staff to stay if he takes over. Nick Gutteridge, our Chief Political Correspondent, reports.

Elsewhere, Hannah Furness, our Royal Editor, reflects on a state visit where the King finally stepped out of the late Queen’s shadow and Charles Hymas, our Home Affairs Editor, has analysis showing that welfare pays more than work for 600,000 households.

Chris Evans, Editor

P.S. Telegraph readers can now enjoy a year’s access for just £1.99 per month. If you’re already a subscriber, make sure you’re logged in to read today’s stories.


 

In today’s edition

The tour when the King finally stepped out of the late Queen’s shadow

Buffer zone invasions ignite battle over Greater Israel

Plus, welfare pays more than work for 600,000 households

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Burnham allies ask Starmer’s No 10 staff to stay on if he becomes PM

Keir Starmer with Angela Rayner and Andy Burnham

Keep your enemies close: Keir Starmer with Angela Rayner and Andy Burnham last month

Nick Gutteridge

Nick Gutteridge

Chief Political Correspondent

 

As Keir Starmer landed in Armenia for a European summit yesterday afternoon, talk in Westminster over who might replace him was intensifying.

Allies of Andy Burnham, who has emerged as the front-runner in this potential leadership race, have begun mapping out what the early days of his premiership might look like, despite not being an MP.

The Telegraph understands that has included discreetly getting in touch with senior No 10 officials to ask if they’d be happy to stay on under the Greater Manchester mayor.

It shows the extent to which leadership rivals are anticipating the end of Starmer’s premiership immediately after what are expected to be brutal local elections on Thursday.

The outlook seems bleak for the Prime Minister, with Labour potentially on course to surrender three quarters of the council seats it is defending in England, cede power in Wales after almost 30 years and lose heavily to the SNP in Scotland.

Burnham is not the only contender waiting in the wings. Wes Streeting’s allies believe the Health Secretary has the 81 MPs required to trigger a ballot, with some urging him to go over the top as early as Friday.

Then there is Angela Rayner. The Telegraph understands that key figures in her camp are torn over whether she should launch a leadership challenge, or bide her time, given that her £40,000 unpaid stamp duty bill remains unresolved.

If anything will save Starmer, it is that all three candidates face major barriers on their path to the top. However, for a Labour Party braced for a bloody nose at the hands of an angry electorate, that will prove cold comfort.

This report is available only to subscribers.
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Starmer to lobby Macron for closer EU ties

 

Opinion

John Power Headshot

John Power

Starmer is bad, but his replacement will be much worse

The Prime Minister has at least tried to get the public to reckon with fiscal reality

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<span style="color:#DE0000;">Jane Shilling</span> Headshot

Jane Shilling

BBC weather forecasters have a sunshine bias

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<span style="color:#DE0000;">Tom Sharpe</span> Headshot

Tom Sharpe

The Royal Navy will get its first large unmanned warship in just two years. Really?

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In other news

Your Sport Briefing

Your essential reads

The tour when the King finally stepped out of the late Queen’s shadow

The King speaking to the US Congress. JD Vance, the vice-president, and Mike Johnson, the House speaker, are behind him

This has felt like the moment where the world has finally got to see the real King Charles, writes Hannah Furness, our Royal Editor. After six days, 8,562 miles and 28,856 words filed by me, the royal tour to America and Bermuda is over. We have established that the “special relationship” is still on. “The special-est,” as Donald Trump might say. I have never seen such universal, and widespread, global acclaim for the King – nor the happy surprise, on both sides of the pond, that he has pulled it off. The truth? This has been him all along, and people are finally paying attention.
For subscribers only

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A buffer zone in Syria, which is home to both Muslims and Druze

Buffer zone invasions ignite battle over Greater Israel

Israel has seized more than 530 square miles of territory outside its borders since Oct 7 2023, writes Henry Bodkin, our Jerusalem Correspondent. This vast new complex of “buffer zones” is, it says, crucial for its security – a statement indicating that, after the worst massacre of Jews in a single day since the Holocaust, it won’t sit behind its borders and wait to be attacked. However, some see raw expansionism at play and point to increasingly biblical language among some of Israel’s leaders as evidence.
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Nick Norwitz has a PhD in physiology, anatomy and genetics from Merton College, Oxford, and a medical degree from Harvard

This Harvard medic thinks we’ve been getting cholesterol all wrong

When it comes to cholesterol, Dr Nick Norwitz believes we’re getting a lot wrong. The 30-year-old Harvard medic, who was diagnosed with high cholesterol in his 20s, joins a growing number of experts who feel the relationship between cholesterol and heart disease is not as straightforward as conventional medicine suggests, and that statins are overprescribed. Read on to find out why, and learn how a ketogenic diet provided the solution to Norwitz’s health issues.

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Britney Spears

Inside the broken world of Britney Spears

Today, Britney Spears will be arraigned in court for the charge of driving under the influence, writes Abigail Buchanan. It’s the latest in a series of worrying incidents for the star, who is currently in rehab for substance abuse. I spoke to industry insiders to find out what Spears’s life post-conservatorship is really like.

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Eight easy exercises that protect against dementia

Exercise protects against dementia. It boosts blood flow to the brain, makes the hippocampus (the memory centre of the brain) bigger and increases levels of a protein that effectively fertilises our brain cells. Neuroscientist Prof Tommy Wood explains how to get all of these benefits in minutes, without setting foot in a gym.

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Seize the day

The ultimate guide to looking after your cast-iron pans

The ancient technology remains versatile and effective in the kitchen, but it requires some extra care

Cast iron has endured for centuries, and for good reason, writes Tomé Morrissy-Swan. These weighty kitchen stalwarts possess unrivalled heat retention and are naturally non-stick, but, to reap these benefits, you must look after them carefully. Follow this guide and your pans will serve you for decades.

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Here are two more articles that I hope you will find useful this morning:

 

Caption competition with...

Matt Cartoon
Matt Pritchett

Matt Pritchett

Cartoonist

 

Hello! We’re back to regularly scheduled proceedings with this couple and their newborn. Below we have this week’s winner, Dela Quist, with an allusion to The Telegraph’s exclusive on Lord Hermer. Congratulations, Dela! Submit your entry for this week here.

P.S. For an inside look at what inspires my weekly cartoons, you can sign up for my personal subscriber-exclusive newsletter here.

 

Your say

’Tis the season

Every weekday, Orlando Bird, our loyal reader correspondent, shares an off-piste topic that has brought out the best of your opinions and stories.

Orlando writes...
I never particularly minded exams when I was sitting them, back in the mists of time. With age comes knowledge, though, and I now know that it’s an objectively miserable way to spend six weeks. These days, whenever May rolls around, I think: thank God I don’t have to do all that again.

Lebby Eyres’s article reminded me that I will have to go through it again – on some level, anyway – when my daughter eventually sits exams of her own.

What approach will I take? I probably won’t endorse the “sit around for weeks and then panic” method that I favoured as a teenager. Nor, however, do I quite see myself as a fanatical revision-enforcer.


 

Readers have been sharing their views (some taking a break from the maelstrom of exam season to do so). David Webb favoured a decidedly hands-off approach: “Let ‘em get on with it, and prepare for the responsibilities they will have to throughout their lives.”


 

John Hemington wasn’t so sure about that: “I was never encouraged to study. My friends had very good incentives, such as driving lessons. It would have helped if my parents had taken more of an interest.”


 

Thomas Mitchell contended: “The best way to prepare children for public exams is to avoid sending them to the sorts of schools that spoon-feed them everything, then pretend the children worked it all out themselves. You cannot teach academic grit. It can only be learnt by children over years.”


 

Charlotte McCarthy added: “My son has learnt nothing at school. He started revising seven weeks ago, and said he’s learnt more with me in a month than he ever did at school.”


 

Claire Sharp was philosophical: “I always remember my daughter’s panicky phone call the night before finals. ‘What happens if I fail?’ Me: ‘Not much.’ Which is the truth: a child also learns from failing, about how important the exam was or was not. She later said that my response calmed her down and enabled her to sit the exams and get a first. We can encourage and support our children, but we can’t force them to study.”

Do you agree? Send your responses here and the best of the bunch will feature in a future edition of this newsletter.

Please confirm in your reply that you are happy to be featured and that we have your permission to use your name.

 

Morning quiz


Archaeologists have discovered a 1,000th cave beneath Nottingham. The city has Britain’s largest network of caves, which used to be used to brew what beverage?

 

Puzzles

Panagram

Find as many words as you can in today’s Panagram, including the nine-letter solution. Visit Telegraph Puzzles to play a range of head-scratching games, including The 1% Club, Cogs, and Quick, Mini or Cryptic Crosswords.


 

Yesterday’s Panagram was DIGITALLY. Come back tomorrow for the solution to today’s puzzle.

 

Please let me know what you think of this newsletter. You can email me your feedback here.

Thank you for reading. Have a fulfilling day and I hope to see you tomorrow.

Chris Evans, Editor

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