mercredi 6 août 2025

How do you fill a £50bn black hole?

‘The bombing of Hiroshima saved my grandfather’| Seven significant traits of a sociopath
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Wednesday, 6 August 2025

Welcome to From the Editor – the very best from our newsroom delivered to your inbox daily.

Rachel Reeves is trapped in a £50bn black hole. With record-breaking £40bn tax increases barely making a dent, the Chancellor is scrambling for creative ways to fill the gap as we edge closer to the October Budget. Tim Wallace, our Deputy Economics Editor, examines her options.

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Reeves facing £50bn black hole as tax pressure mounts

Rachel Reeves
Tim Wallace

Tim Wallace

Deputy Economics Editor

 

Rachel Reeves hoped she had fixed the public finances for good last year. Her record-breaking £40bn tax increases in October’s Budget were supposed to draw a line under the bad news for the rest of this Parliament.

But those tax rises shattered business confidence and undermined the jobs market.

Combine that with stubbornly high borrowing costs, the about-turn on plans to trim the welfare bill, and the fallout from Donald Trump’s trade war, the result is that the Chancellor faces a fresh black hole even bigger than the old one.

Analysts at the National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) estimate that Ms Reeves needs to find more than £50bn in the autumn.

It will be hard to cut spending. Labour MPs are in a rebellious mood, and are riding high after forcing Ms Reeves and Sir Keir Starmer to reverse course on winter fuel and benefits payments.

Changing the borrowing rules is a non-starter. The Chancellor has ruled it out and NIESR warns of “another Liz Truss moment” if she changes her mind.

That means tax rises are the path of least resistance.

Labour backbenchers are clamouring for a wealth tax, while Conservatives warn of a “disastrous loop of higher taxes and lower growth”.
Read the full story here

 

Opinion and analysis

 
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Paul Butler

Not many enjoyed French or German at the comprehensive school I went to. Maybe that was down to the teachers, the head of French was away with the fairies, and I did know her out of school as she lived locally. My wife, on the other hand, went to a private school and enjoyed languages, and of course Latin.

 

Orlando Bird

I went to a comp and had a similar experience – languages obviously weren't a priority. But the problem was also just that GCSE standards were so low. By those standards, I wasn't bad at French, but in reality, I could barely speak a word. Will modern languages end up becoming the preserve of fee-paying schools, like Latin?

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