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Labour’s plan to give the vote to 16- and 17-year-olds has been branded a self-serving attempt to rig the next general election. Ben Butcher, our Data Editor, scrutinises the potential impact this desperate change could have and identifies the key seats where it could make all the difference.
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Chris Evans, Editor | Free speech lives here Enjoy journalism that’s proud to share your values Enjoy 1 year for £25 in our Summer Sale | Sir Keir Starmer has been accused of “breathtaking” cynicism after announcing plans to bring down the voting age to 16.
The Prime Minister said 16- and 17-year-olds were old enough to pay taxes and they should therefore get a say in the running of the country.
Tory and Reform UK figures claimed the Labour leader was trying to “rig” future elections amid his party’s waning political support since taking office last year.
Ben Butcher, Data Editor, reviews the poll data to see how this could impact the next general election. | Ben Butcher Data Editor | It’s not a conventional way to gain extra votes, but Labour’s plans to extend the franchise to 16- and 17-year-olds overwhelmingly benefits one group: the Left.
Had the more-than 1.35 million potential new voters been added to the electoral roll for the 2024 election, and had they mirrored under-25s in terms of voting patterns and turnout, then Labour would have secured an additional 200,000 votes, and the Greens 100,000 more. Reform UK, on the other hand, would have gained 40,000.
One year on, Reform is surging in the polls and is well on track to be the largest party in the next election, but still 55 seats short of a majority, according to YouGov’s latest constituency-level poll.
The next election will be defined by wafer-thin majorities as a fragmented electorate abandons the two-party system. Using this polling, we’ve found nine seats that Reform would probably lose with the “teen vote” out in force, helping tip the balance to Labour in seats where every vote will count. This extension of the vote is unlikely to help swing a radical Left-wing government into power but it will add a speed bump to Reform’s momentum.
It might, therefore, be Jeremy Corbyn and his new party who come to Reform’s aid. Labour is losing the youth vote by the day: the new voters may never even give Sir Keir a chance. Read more of the analysis here ➤ | Sherelle Jacobs Telegraph columnist Continue reading ➤ David Frost Brexit negotiator, Tory peer and Telegraph columnist The awful truth about Labour? They’re continuity Sunak Continue reading ➤ Suella Braverman MP and columnist The Afghan fiasco shows how badly the last Tory government let you down Continue reading ➤ | Get the full experience Unlock our award-winning website, app and newsletters Enjoy 1 year for £25 in our Summer Sale | The best of the Telegraph | It’s no surprise that our health declines with age – but Stanford University researchers have identified two specific spikes in the ageing process: one at 44, the other at 60. From a slowing metabolism to rising risks of kidney disease, we reveal what to watch out for at these milestones – and how you can turn back the clock. Continue reading ➤ | Every day our journalists discuss the day’s biggest issues with subscribers on our app and on our website.
Today, Allister Heath, the Editor of The Sunday Telegraph, responds to a subscriber comment on his column: The British public will never forgive the elites for this monstrous betrayal. | Ken Anderson Afghanistan was a disaster from start to finish. The UK should never have been involved. They should have learnt from the Russians. | | Allister Heath Well, we should certainly not have invaded – we needed to retaliate for 9/11, though. The error was the idea that we could turn up and turn them into a liberal democratic western state. Mad delusion. | Coming up today | | Make your voice heard Join our journalists in conversation on today’s biggest topics Enjoy 1 year for £25 in our Summer Sale | Click below to enjoy one of our agenda-setting podcasts | Find as many words as you can in today’s Panagram, including the nine-letter solution. Visit Telegraph Puzzles to play a range of head-scratching games, including PlusWord, Sorted and Quick, Mini or Cryptic Crosswords. Yesterday’s Panagram was FIREPROOF. Come back on Sunday for the solution to today’s puzzle. | Read and sign up to our newsletters Telegraph Money • Wednesday Want to be richer? Make your money work harder with our experts | | | Ukraine: The Latest • Friday Critical insights from the hosts of the world’s most listened-to podcast on the war | | | Business Briefing • Daily Step inside the C-suite with the City’s best-connected journalists | | | | |
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